The Maple Bubble: A History of Migration among Canadian Provinces


  • Borradores de economía


  • This study reports evidence of the existence of house price bubbles in several Canadian provinces around the recent global financial crisis. Using a wealth of monthly data for about a thirty-year period we find evidence supporting the hypothesis that the bubble in Quebec transmitted to four other Canadian provinces. Using a recently developed migration test, we show evidence of time-varying transmission intensities. In all cases an inverted U-shape is encountered, suggesting that initially migrations gain strength and then decrease after a maximum point is reached. Interestingly, intensities increase significantly around the maximum point of the bubble in Quebec. Our results have important implications for the design of housing market policies.

fecha de publicación

  • 2017-05

Líneas de investigación

  • Bubble Transmission
  • Canada
  • Housing Bubbles
  • Recursive Right Tailed Unit Root Tests


  • 992